← Velocity DTR Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Velocity DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1145
· median 1145
· range 1115–1175
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1148
Q3 1271
1431
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Fire Rile | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.5% | -13.9 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
