← Velocity DTR Store Championship
Water Tera KongmingTier 2
at Velocity DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.5%
avg ELO -8.6 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1134
· median 1134
· range 1134–1134
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1148
Q3 1271
1431
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Rile | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
