Velocity DTR Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	25.0%	2-3-1	41.7%	50.3%	48.7%	50.7%	1145	↓ low
2		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-0-2	66.7%	53.4%	52.5%	50.6%	1241	—
3		Fire Rile	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.4%	46.7%	48.3%	1175	↓ low
4		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	29.0%	40.0%	41.4%	1153	↓ low
5		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-1-0	75.0%	61.8%	58.3%	57.6%	1222	—
6		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	12.5%	4-0-0	100.0%	63.5%	60.0%	55.3%	1431	↑ top
7		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-1	16.7%	38.5%	42.5%	43.2%	1134	↓ low
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	56.4%	53.3%	53.0%	1360	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Rile 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%