← Gamers Guild Tempe - Grand Archive Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Gamers Guild Tempe - Grand Archive Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
3
(23.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-6-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.5%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1260
· median 1262
· range 1183–1333
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1147
Q3 1262
1517
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.0 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 7.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.9% | -16.5 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
