← Distorted Reflection Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 1
at Distorted Reflection Store Championship
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-0-1
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.6%
avg ELO +9.3 per match
expected value
58.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1502
· median 1502
· range 1502–1502
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1163
Q3 1391
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
