← Distorted Reflection Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Distorted Reflection Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-2-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
58.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1201
· median 1201
· range 1185–1216
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1163
Q3 1391
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.9% | +7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.9% | +7.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Diana | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
