← 9/21 TGCShuffle DTR Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 2
at 9/21 TGCShuffle DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1316
· median 1316
· range 1316–1316
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1257
Q3 1414
1545
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
