← Storm Gate Games Distorted Reflections Store Championships
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Storm Gate Games Distorted Reflections Store Championships
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306
· median 1306
· range 1281–1331
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1208
Q3 1324
1513
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 28.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 38.1% | -7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 21.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
