Fire AetherwingTier 2
at ACMETCG Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.5%
avg ELO -7.8 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1376
· median 1376
· range 1376–1376
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1037
Q1 1213
Q3 1365
1563
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 43.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
