← Home-run Store Championships
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Home-run Store Championships
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
43.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1259
· median 1259
· range 1259–1259
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1225
Q3 1392
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 43.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tristan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
