← Home-run Store Championships
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at Home-run Store Championships
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-4-4
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1390
· median 1390
· range 1263–1516
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1225
Q3 1392
1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 43.8% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 48.1% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tristan | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
