← Store Championship @ Hobby Outpost
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Store Championship @ Hobby Outpost
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-5-1
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.6%
avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
43.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1256–1383
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1228
Q3 1383
1469
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 22.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Slimes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
