Store Championship @ Hobby Outpost

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	22.2%	7-3-0	70.0%	62.0%	58.8%	57.5%	1401	↑ top
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	22.2%	2-5-1	31.2%	39.6%	43.8%	44.6%	1319	—
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.1%	46.7%	49.6%	1159	↓ low
4		Slimes	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.7%	44.0%	48.3%	1196	↓ low
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	51.9%	55.7%	50.0%	1465	↑ top
6		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.0%	48.0%	48.9%	1256	↓ low
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.8%	50.0%	50.3%	1228	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 22.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 11.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 11.1%