← Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-4-2
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.8%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1374
· median 1374
· range 1355–1393
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1183
Q3 1364
1423
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Tera Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.3% | -8.4 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.2 |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.6% | -9.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
