← Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championship @ Taps Games
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.9%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 988
· median 988
· range 988–988
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1183
Q3 1364
1423
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.7% | +8.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
