← GGCP Distorted Reflections Store Championship - 7th September
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at GGCP Distorted Reflections Store Championship - 7th September
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.4%
avg ELO -6.5 per match
expected value
54.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1494
· median 1494
· range 1424–1563
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1276
Q3 1421
1563
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 46.0% | -2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 18.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.4% | +4.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 25.5% | -23.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
