GGCP Distorted Reflections Store Championship - 7th September

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 2	6	54.5%	8-10-1	44.7%	40.8%	48.5%	47.0%	1400	—
2		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	18.2%	5-4-1	55.0%	35.4%	54.9%	45.5%	1494	↑ top
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	18.2%	3-7-0	30.0%	43.7%	42.8%	48.4%	1236	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	9.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	62.4%	58.2%	58.1%	1384	—
5		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.5%	40.0%	44.6%	1284	↓ low
6		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-6-0	14.3%	50.4%	35.6%	49.0%	1204	↓ low
7		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.9%	56.4%	52.8%	1419	↑ top
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	5-2-0	71.4%	75.4%	57.6%	65.1%	1268	↓ low
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	9.1%	6-0-0	100.0%	68.9%	66.9%	60.8%	1509	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 6 decks · 54.5%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 9.1%