Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GA DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-1-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.4%
avg ELO +8.0 per match
expected value
63.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1312
· median 1312
· range 1245–1378
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1237
Q3 1382
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 26.7% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 54.5% | +2.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
