Fire ExiaTier 1
at GA DTR Store Championships
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.7%
avg ELO +9.6 per match
expected value
59.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1376
· median 1376
· range 1376–1376
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1237
Q3 1382
1460
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 26.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
