Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at GA DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-5-1
overall winrate
21.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.9%
avg ELO -11.1 per match
expected value
39.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1322
· range 1213–1431
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1139
Q1 1237
Q3 1382
1460
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 26.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.4% | -16.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 13.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.3% | -12.2 |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
