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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Champs
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.0%
avg ELO -13.8 per match
expected value
39.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1354–1354
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1142
Q1 1217
Q3 1299
1405
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.6% | -18.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
