← Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps

Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps

decks
3 (18.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 4-8-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.1% avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
39.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1157 · median 1145 · range 972–1352 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
972 Q1 1202 Q3 1405 1552
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 67% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 31.2% 4 0-4-0 0.0% 25.0% 29.6% -13.0
Fire Crux Mage 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.9% -8.2
Fire Aggro 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.9% -21.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 6.2% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.3% -9.1
Fire Suzaku 6.2% 0
Water Fractal 6.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.0% +11.6
Water Umbra Ciel 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.4% +21.5
Wind Luxem Zander 6.2% 0
Wind Razorgale 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.3% -5.9
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.1% +16.2
Wind Wakeup Combo 6.2% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Expose Darkness -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Slimeshield -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Purifying Thurible -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32315/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu