← The Armoury Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Armoury Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 23.5% | 19 | 68.4% | 61.0% | 54.7% | 53.7% | 1294 | — |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 11.8% | 12 | 58.3% | 49.1% | 53.5% | 50.2% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Rile | 4 | 23.5% | 20 | 55.0% | 48.8% | 53.0% | 51.3% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 62.5% | 64.9% | 52.7% | 56.3% | 1358 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 50.0% | 62.9% | 52.3% | 57.2% | 1221 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 66.7% | 60.2% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 1282 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.6% | 46.1% | 48.5% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Exia Jin | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.6% | 45.0% | 46.9% | 1084 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 33.3% | 42.7% | 44.6% | 46.7% | 1240 | — |
| 10 | Water Crux Mage | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 18.8% | 30.3% | 44.0% | 44.7% | 1237 | — |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 2 | 11.8% | 10 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 39.8% | 41.2% | 1149 | ↓ low |