← Games Haven BBK Store Championship DTR
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Games Haven BBK Store Championship DTR.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.5% | 8 | 75.0% | 68.0% | 56.9% | 57.9% | 1469 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 18.2% | 20 | 65.0% | 52.9% | 56.2% | 52.4% | 1359 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.5% | 7 | 78.6% | 61.8% | 54.0% | 52.6% | 1396 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 66.7% | 51.7% | 54.0% | 51.9% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.7% | 53.3% | 54.9% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.6% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1488 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 48.9% | 1281 | — |
| 8 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 38.4% | 48.9% | 45.5% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.3% | 48.6% | 47.8% | 1305 | — |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 61.3% | 48.0% | 52.7% | 1252 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Slimes | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 43.5% | 46.0% | 48.9% | 1470 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 31.2% | 39.3% | 45.8% | 46.6% | 1293 | — |
| 13 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 9.1% | 9 | 38.9% | 56.2% | 45.4% | 50.2% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 45.0% | 45.2% | 48.2% | 1298 | — |
| 15 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 31.2% | 38.7% | 42.3% | 44.1% | 1280 | — |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.8% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1129 | ↓ low |