Fire OblationTier 1
at STORE CHAMPS
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
5-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
77.7%
avg ELO +16.0 per match
expected value
63.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
63.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1348
· median 1348
· range 1348–1348
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1040
Q1 1211
Q3 1347
1563
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 21.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.7% | +17.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +15.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
