← JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 70.8% | 17 | 6-8-3 | 44.1% | 45.2% | 48.9% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 60.2% | +5.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 16.7% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 30.7% | -12.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 74.6% | +23.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 45.5% | -3.3 |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.4 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Staggering Strike, Under Fire, Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored. Losers more often ran: Flamewreath Call, Fire Resonance Bauble, Three of Hearts.
Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamewreath Call | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blazing Throw | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rile the Abyss | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Under Fire | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Liminal Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Peppered Chef | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Suzaku's Command | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| March Hare, Mottled Host | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Demolition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |