EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 塔普卡 DTR賽季店冠賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.8% | 9 | 77.8% | 67.2% | 57.5% | 57.0% | 1306 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.8% | 7 | 71.4% | 50.5% | 56.4% | 51.6% | 1277 | — |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.8% | 8 | 62.5% | 66.7% | 54.8% | 57.9% | 1284 | — |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 3 | 14.3% | 16 | 62.5% | 53.9% | 53.7% | 51.5% | 1376 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 2 | 9.5% | 8 | 56.2% | 58.5% | 53.0% | 53.7% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 51.7% | 50.9% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 46.8% | 51.7% | 50.1% | 1223 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.4% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 1218 | — |
| 9 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 42.9% | 50.0% | 45.0% | 1435 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 2 | 9.5% | 11 | 40.9% | 44.4% | 48.5% | 48.4% | 1266 | — |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 40.0% | 50.4% | 47.1% | 49.5% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.3% | 47.0% | 47.7% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1241 | — |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 49.2% | 44.1% | 49.3% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 24.0% | 43.3% | 40.0% | 1338 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 27.5% | 42.2% | 39.8% | 1281 | — |
| 17 | Water Beast | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 10.0% | 45.7% | 41.7% | 47.8% | 945 | ↓ low |