Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1233
· median 1233
· range 1233–1233
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1161
Q1 1233
Q3 1352
1408
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 38.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Suited | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.3 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
