← Manta Trading Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 2
at Manta Trading Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.1%
avg ELO -9.2 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1463
· median 1463
· range 1463–1463
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1063
Q1 1262
Q3 1453
1549
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
