Manta Trading Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 2	2	20.0%	4-4-0	50.0%	47.4%	48.9%	49.0%	1312	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	20.0%	4-3-0	57.1%	38.8%	52.5%	47.2%	1514	↑ top
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	10.0%	4-1-0	80.0%	69.2%	57.1%	58.2%	1258	↓ low
4		Fire Arisanna	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-5-0	0.0%	33.4%	40.0%	44.4%	1063	↓ low
5		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-2-0	60.0%	62.5%	51.4%	54.8%	1162	↓ low
6		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	10.0%	2-3-0	40.0%	34.1%	46.7%	43.0%	1463	↑ top
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	37.7%	42.9%	44.8%	1344	—
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	37.1%	42.9%	44.7%	1275	↓ low
9		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	10.0%	5-0-0	100.0%	79.9%	60.0%	61.5%	1423	↑ top
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	64.8%	56.0%	57.7%	1353	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 2 decks · 20.0%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Arisanna 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 10.0%