← SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-4-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.3%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1226
· median 1226
· range 1134–1317
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1105
Q1 1181
Q3 1317
1433
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -7.3 |
| Water Genbu | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
