← SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-4-2
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.4%
avg ELO +7.6 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1141
· median 1141
· range 1105–1177
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1105
Q1 1181
Q3 1317
1433
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.3% | +10.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.6% | +7.3 |
| Water Genbu | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 48.6% | -1.0 |
| Water Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
