← Wolfspider Games & Entertainment DTR Store Championship
Fire ArisannaTier 2
at Wolfspider Games & Entertainment DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.8%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1141
· median 1141
· range 1141–1141
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1081
Q1 1152
Q3 1237
1348
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
