← Month-ender for August with PRs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Month-ender for August with PRs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Wind Shadowstrike
57.8%
↑ top
1st
Fire Crux Hybrid
59.3%
↑ top
3rd
Wind Astra Cleric
54.0%
↓ low
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 87.5% | 52.4% | 59.3% | 51.2% | 1400 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 23.1% | 13 | 69.2% | 51.3% | 57.8% | 50.8% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 70.0% | 51.4% | 54.0% | 50.6% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 2 | 15.4% | 8 | 62.5% | 51.3% | 52.2% | 50.3% | 1288 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 3 | 23.1% | 12 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 47.1% | 50.0% | 1265 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 45.0% | 48.7% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.5% | 43.8% | 49.2% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 10.0% | 47.1% | 43.0% | 49.3% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 0.0% | 47.1% | 40.0% | 48.8% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 45.6% | 40.0% | 47.9% | 1289 | — |