← Kayfabe - Store Championship - DTR
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Kayfabe - Store Championship - DTR
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.3%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
54.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1241
· median 1241
· range 1241–1241
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1220
Q3 1328
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.5% | +6.4 |
| Horse and Taxes | 22.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +23.0 |
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
