← Kayfabe - Store Championship - DTR
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Kayfabe - Store Championship - DTR
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.8%
avg ELO -8.2 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1305
· median 1305
· range 1296–1315
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1220
Q3 1328
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 44.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 30.7% | -12.4 |
| Horse and Taxes | 22.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -23.0 |
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.1% | +8.7 |
| Wind Ciel | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
