← ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 2
at ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-7-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
42.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1172
· median 1172
· range 1060–1283
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1060
Q1 1234
Q3 1345
1569
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 38.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Fire Byakko | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.5 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.5 |
| Wind Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
