← ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-1-3
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
53.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1447
· median 1447
· range 1325–1569
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1060
Q1 1234
Q3 1345
1569
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 38.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 47.2% | -2.1 |
| Fire Byakko | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
