← Hobibear DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Hobibear DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 13.3% | 5 | 90.0% | 66.2% | 59.2% | 56.8% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 48.0% | 54.3% | 50.3% | 1461 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 57.6% | 53.3% | 52.0% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 13.3% | 8 | 62.5% | 50.6% | 52.5% | 49.7% | 1362 | — |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 2 | 13.3% | 7 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 51.2% | 52.4% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 50.0% | 51.7% | 1267 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 60.0% | 48.6% | 53.0% | 1298 | — |
| 8 | Slimes | 2 | 13.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 41.8% | 46.5% | 47.0% | 1256 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 50.1% | 45.8% | 50.1% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.8% | 40.0% | 41.7% | 1310 | — |
| 11 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.9% | 40.0% | 42.6% | 999 | ↓ low |