← Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/25/2025
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/25/2025
decks
6
(14.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
9-8-1
overall winrate
52.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1338
· range 1191–1463
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1164
Q1 1210
Q3 1418
1656
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Neos | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.7% | -1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
