Fire OblationTier 1
at RHS DTR Storechamp
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-0-1
overall winrate
90.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.3%
avg ELO +8.8 per match
expected value
59.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1356–1356
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1172
Q1 1228
Q3 1325
1499
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 37.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 25.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.6% | +4.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
