← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +6.5 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1221
· median 1221
· range 1221–1221
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1159
Q3 1326
1432
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Suited | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
