Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	34.2%	46.7%	42.6%	1389	↑ top
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	52.9%	46.7%	51.3%	976	↓ low
3		Fire Suited	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.8%	53.3%	50.4%	1432	↑ top
4		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	31.2%	40.0%	41.2%	1179	—
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	58.6%	53.3%	54.0%	1221	—
6		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	61.6%	53.3%	55.4%	1163	↓ low
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	64.1%	60.0%	56.6%	1305	↑ top
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.6%	46.7%	48.4%	1148	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%