Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at 幻想遊戲世界店冠賽
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-6-0
overall winrate
14.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
28.2%
avg ELO -11.0 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1247
· median 1247
· range 1191–1303
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1253
Q3 1412
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 17.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.4% | -8.6 |
| Water Genbu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
