← Grand Archive Store Championsips
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championsips.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Water Tera Kongming
60.9%
↑ top
1st
Fire Luxem Assassin
62.7%
↑ top
3rd
Fire Umbra Guardian
54.7%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.7% | 7 | 100.0% | 65.9% | 62.7% | 56.1% | 1616 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 75.0% | 54.6% | 60.9% | 55.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.7% | 7 | 71.4% | 49.4% | 54.7% | 49.4% | 1678 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 6.7% | 7 | 71.4% | 61.4% | 54.3% | 54.4% | 1385 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 58.3% | 41.7% | 52.1% | 47.5% | 1374 | — |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 6 | 40.0% | 28 | 53.6% | 46.2% | 51.8% | 48.1% | 1443 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 3 | 20.0% | 16 | 50.0% | 63.9% | 50.8% | 56.7% | 1217 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 13.3% | 12 | 50.0% | 62.3% | 49.2% | 55.2% | 1267 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.3% | 47.5% | 50.4% | 1270 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 20.0% | 31.8% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 13.3% | 12 | 25.0% | 36.0% | 41.5% | 44.0% | 1294 | — |
| 12 | Fire Suited | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 12.5% | 30.0% | 41.4% | 40.0% | 1294 | — |
| 13 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 0.0% | 29.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1393 | — |
| 14 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 56.1% | 40.0% | 47.8% | 1193 | ↓ low |