← GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 1
at GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.2%
avg ELO +11.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1216
· median 1216
· range 1216–1216
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1188
Q3 1412
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Luxem Zander | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.8% | +25.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.3% | +24.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
