← GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2
at GFM - Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
3
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
5-5-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
49.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1427
· median 1354
· range 1335–1593
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1188
Q3 1412
1736
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.3% | -23.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
