← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-0-2
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.0%
avg ELO +6.9 per match
expected value
57.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1362
· median 1362
· range 1362–1362
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1331
Q3 1467
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 29.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.6 |
| Fire Suited | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
