← Gaming Giant Distorted Reflections Store Championships

Water FractalTier 1

at Gaming Giant Distorted Reflections Store Championships

decks
1 (6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.5% avg ELO -6.1 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1388 · median 1388 · range 1388–1388 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006 Q1 1232 Q3 1390 1516
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 18.8% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 12.5% 0
Fire Aetherwing 6.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.9% +6.2
Fire Slimes 6.2% 0
Fire Suzaku 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.7
Water Crux Mage 6.2% 0
Water Tera Kongming 6.2% 0
Wind Allies 6.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -17.9
Wind Arcane 6.2% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.5% +4.0
Wind Seiryuu 6.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/34688/archetypes/Water Fractal