← Gold Star DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gold Star DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 14.3% | 6 | 100.0% | 70.5% | 62.7% | 57.6% | 1393 | — |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 58.7% | 60.0% | 57.8% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 67.9% | 60.0% | 63.0% | 1336 | — |
| 4 | Water Neos | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 67.9% | 60.0% | 63.0% | 1336 | — |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 54.1% | 57.1% | 52.8% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 51.1% | 52.5% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.8% | 48.6% | 49.4% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 3 | 21.4% | 14 | 35.7% | 32.1% | 48.5% | 44.9% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.7% | 45.3% | 44.9% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.3% | 40.0% | 41.1% | 1351 | — |
| 11 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 14.3% | 7 | 14.3% | 46.2% | 38.2% | 46.8% | 1051 | ↓ low |